Paper Title
Seasonality and the Dynamics of Mycobacterium Ulcer Anstransmission
Abstract
The complete epidemiology of Mycobacterium ulcerans (MU)infection is yet to be determined. It has been postulated
that the disease is spread by a vector whose breeding habits are determined by environmental factors such as seasonal temperature and
rainfall regimes. In this paper, a mathematical model that incorporates the effects of seasonality has been compared with a non-seasonal
model. It is shown that the number of secondary cases of Buruli Ulcer (BU) produced by a typical infected individual increases due to
seasonality. Thus, the effects of seasonal it ylead to an enhancement of the spread of BU
Keywords – Seasonal Dynamics, Epidemiology, Buruli Ulcer, Reproductive number