Paper Title
Analysing the Adoption of Electric Vehicles for Urban Freight Using System Dynamic Approach: Denpasar Case
Abstract
In Denpasar, the capital of Bali, the escalating use of motorcycles for both private and commercial purposes
hasincreased transportation and logistical issues while contributing to air pollution and noise pollution. This study explores
the viability of implementing Motorcycle-Based Electric Logistic Vehicles (MBELV) as a sustainable solution. Employing a
combination of qualitative and quantitative methods, including System Dynamics modelling, the research assesses various
scenarios, such as government incentives, charging infrastructure policies, and promotional efforts, to promote willingness to
adopt MBELVs in 2030 and 2060. Four scenarios are created, considering government incentives, charging infrastructure
policies, and a mix of promotional efforts, charging infrastructure improvements, and financial incentives. The result showed
that for 2030 the impact of policy 3 (a combination of promotional efforts, infrastructure support, and financial incentives)
demonstrates the highest willingness rate, reaching nearly 98%. While in 2060, this same scenario leads to an astonishing
80% willingness to use MBELVs, contributing to a threefold increase in the total number of vehicles within just 40 years
from 2023. These findings can serve as a valuable reference for policymakers and stakeholders seeking to promote electricbased
logistics vehicles in Denpasar City, Bali.
Keywords - Motorcycle-Based Electric Logistic Vehicles (MBELV), Sustainability, Urban Logistics, System Dynamic,
Policy